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Why Bill Russell Would Be a Bear on the Stock Market Now

When Bill Russell led first his college team and then the Boston Celtics to title after title, he did it with brains as well as athletic talent.  When he turned to TV commentating, one of his themes...

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Dealing with Financial Repression

Given the article posted today by Econophile on the WSJ and inflation, I thought it timely to submit some quantitative considerations for anyone with savings who has to deal with interest rates on...

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What Bothers Me About the U.S. Stock Market

There’s too much optimism compared to actual data and recent trends, at least so far as I can see.  Here are some examples. The Financial Times has, behind a firewall, an article out today showing...

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Update On the Economy and the Markets

Yesterday late in the day, a bizarre thing happened.  The Fed moved up its release of the bank stress tests results by two days because one of the directors of the New York Fed, Jamie Dimon, had the...

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Stocks in Extremistan As Recession Forecasts Continue

This is a long post about stocks and the economy.  I hope you find it worth the effort to read it. If there’s any doubt about the strength of economic expansions, on trend, in the United States, in the...

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John Hussman Makes New U.S. Recession Call

Economist turned money manager John Hussman has become the first economist I’m aware of to opine that the United States has entered a fresh recession.  This would of course be unwelcome if verified as...

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